Projection of an interior point of an ellipsoid onto itself

The fact that the $D$ matrix is diagonal makes the problem much easier. The Lagrangian is: $$L(x,y) = ||x-z||_2^2 + y\left(x^TDx-1\right)$$ so the KKT conditions are: $$(x_i-z_i) + yd_i x_i = 0 \quad \forall i$$ $$x^TDx = 1$$ The stationarity condition can also be expressed as: $$x_i = \frac{z_i}{1+yd_i}.$$ This simple expression is only possible because $D$ is diagonal, which gave rise to the term $yd_ix_i$. Due to symmetry, you know $x_i^*$ has the same sign as $z_i$, so $y\geq -1/(\max_i d_i)$. Note that $y=0$ is impossible (it leads to $x^T D x = z^TDz <1$), and that $y>0$ implies $|x_i| \leq |z_i| \; \forall i$ which is also not possible, so $y<0$ All that's left is finding $y$ for which $-1/(\max_i d_i) \leq y < 0$ and $$\sum_i d_i \left( \frac{z_i}{1+y d_i}\right)^2 = 1.$$ Since the left hand side is monotonously decreasing in $y$, you can use bisection search.


One way to look at this problem is from a bounding perspective, although it only gives insight into the optimal distance $\|x^*-z\|_2$, and not necessarily localization information of $x^*$ itself in general.

In particular, note that we can define a lifted variable $X=xx^\top$. Then the left side of the constraint can be rewritten as \begin{equation*} x^\top Dx = \text{tr}(x^\top Dx) = \text{tr}(Dxx^\top) = \text{tr}(DX). \end{equation*} Similarly, the objective can be written as \begin{equation*} \|x-z\|_2^2 = x^\top x - 2z^\top x + z^\top z = \text{tr}(X)-2z^\top x + z^\top z. \end{equation*} Therefore, the projection problem is equivalent to the following: \begin{equation*} \begin{aligned} &\underset{x\in\mathbb{R}^n,X\in\mathbb{S}^n}{\text{minimize}} && \text{tr}(X)-2z^\top x + z^\top \\ &\text{subject to} && \text{tr}(DX)=1, \\ &&& X=xx^\top. \end{aligned} \end{equation*} Under this reformulation, the objective is affine, and the old equality constraint is also affine. However, the nonconvexity has been absorbed into the new constraint $X=xx^\top$. If you relax this constraint to $X\succeq xx^\top$, the problem becomes convex, since $f\colon\mathbb{R}^n\to\mathbb{S}^n$ defined by $f(x,X)=xx^\top-X$ is cone-convex with respect to the positive semidefinite cone. Indeed, using Schur complements, we can further rewrite the condition that $X-xx^\top\succeq 0$ as \begin{equation*} \begin{bmatrix} 1 & x^\top \\ x & X \end{bmatrix} \succeq 0. \end{equation*} Since we've introduced a relaxation of your original problem, we conclude that the following (convex) semidefinite programming problem lower bounds your original problem: \begin{equation*} \begin{aligned} &\underset{x\in\mathbb{R}^n,X\in\mathbb{S}^n}{\text{minimize}} && \text{tr}(X)-2z^\top x + z^\top \\ &\text{subject to} && \text{tr}(DX)=1, \\ &&& \begin{bmatrix} 1 & x^\top \\ x & X \end{bmatrix} \succeq 0. \end{aligned} \end{equation*} Note that in the case the final constraint is active at optimum, i.e., $X^*=x^*x^{*\top}$, you can conclude that $x^*$ solves the original nonconvex problem.

For the other side of things, you can upper bound the optimal value by looking at the eigenvalues of $D$. In particular, the eigenvalues of $D$ are precisely the diagonal elements of $D$ (since it is a diagonal matrix per your assumption). Without loss of generality, let us assume $d_1\ge d_2\ge \cdots \ge d_n$. Then the eigenvector associated with eigenvalue $d_i$ is $e_i$, the $i$th standard basis vector. Let $x=\frac{1}{\sqrt{d_i}}e_i$. Then we remark that $x$ is feasible for your original optimization problem, since \begin{equation*} x^\top Dx = \frac{1}{d_i}e_i^\top De_i = \frac{1}{d_i}e_i^\top (d_i e_i) = e_i^\top e_i = 1. \end{equation*} The corresponding objective value is \begin{equation*} \|x-z\|_2^2 = \left\|\frac{1}{\sqrt{d_i}}e_i - z\right\|_2^2. \end{equation*} This value trivially upper bounds the optimal objective value of the minimization problem. Since this holds for all $i\in\{1,2,\dots,n\}$, we conclude that the following upper bounds the optimal value of the problem: \begin{equation*} \min_{i\in\{1,2,\dots,n\}}\left\|\frac{1}{\sqrt{d_i}}e_i - z\right\|_2^2. \end{equation*}

With a bit more work, it may be possible to tighten these bounds, or even reformulate your problem differently so as to find an exact solution. I hope this helps give you some ideas.